All the countries of Eurovision 2021 have now revealed their final songs — except for Belarus, which has been asked to rework its song’s lyrics over political content. The odds have changed with each and every premier. But now that the releases are over, bar that one outlier, is the competition looking clear?
On Monday Malta — and its gorgeous singer Destiny — released “Je me casse”, her Beyoncé-meets-Charleston number about female empowerment. The bookies have responded. Four days ago she had odds as high as 16/1 according to Eurovision Oddschecker and was listed as eighth most likely to win. Hours after her release, as I type this, she is now second favourite to win with odds as low as 26/5. That is how you climb!
But Malta is not the only country moving up the oddstable. Beautiful Victoria from Bulgaria with her song “Growing Up Is Getting Old” is a solid third with odds as low as 6/1. In an interview with Wiwibloggs, which we published on Sunday, Victoria shared that her stage director Marvin Dietmann believed that “Growing Up Is Getting Old” had the best potential for staging among her possible entries, suggesting big things are in store.
Oddschecker presents odds using the fractional system. So, for example, betting £8 on Bulgaria to win with odds of 8/1 would win the betmaker £8, for a total profit of £7. The list below shows the odds as of 22:00 CET on 15 March.
Eurovision 2021 odds: Malta now second favourite to win
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At the time of writing, both Malta and Bulgaria are in a sea of blue, meaning that the bookies are growing more confident of their chances of success. Most other countries in the Top 10 are red, which means the bookies are growing less confident in their chances.
Even as the odds rise and fall, Switzerland still remains the favourite. And France’s Barbara Pravi is holding steady as the act considered fourth most-likely to win.
Iceland’s Daði Freyr continues to drift, having moved from contest favourite before Switzerland’s reveal, to fourth shortly after the leak of his song “10 Years” and now to eighth favourite with his song officially revealed.
Do you agree with the odds? Do you think Malta could win the contest? Let us know your thoughts in the comment section below!
Malta has a good young singer and song is brilliant
The best song 2021 is Portugal … This wiwibloggs don,t mean nothing… Salvador Sobral was the 23rd place to the Wiwi Jury on April 28, 2017… And he ended up with 758 points, the best result ever by far.
Could someone explain me why is Norway in the top 10 odds ? The singer cannot sing, the song is not a masterpiece and the show is no longer funny after 15 seconds.
Come on malta , uk love you . X
Fergie – A Little Party Never Killed Nobody + Jennifer Lopez – Medicine = Destiny – Je Me Casse
Wait – the odds told me that Iceland was going to win before the song was released. Were the odds lying to me????
“Tout l’univers” was used today on a very popular/soapy/influent tv show here in Spain. And locals apperenetly really liked it. Some talk on twitter. Many comments on youtube as well. That’s how the song also went to 1 on Itunes. Whoever did it.. was smart move I guess.
omg the gjon’s lips payola has already begun…
True! Everybody was talking about it.
Whenever i see you with this profile pic i hear that sopilka solo wtf 😀
as she should. we are in a pandemi lovato, we need to lift our spirits, and an empowered woman of color winning with the most energetic song and performance only feels right
The ignorance towards Sweden’s entry is so funny on this site.
Did they release the song ? I do not remember it 😛
Nah , we are leaving no stone unturned in showing our disappointment with it , who told it’s being ignored ?
I really want Iceland I mean the song’s about his wife isn’t that soooo sweet!
I think that’s unfair anyway. destiny sings five different songs at once.?
Imagine country no one talked about win 😀 Like for eg. Croatia, Moldova, Serbia, Azerbaijan…? 😀 As long the voting isn’t predictable it will be fun ESC year, whoever win at the end
For me it seems like the odds this year are really nervous. Lacking a real sure winner they go for what they know. The Swiss entry is similar to Arcade and it won. The Maltese entry has some similarities to Netta and it won. Italy, Bulgaria and Sweden usually ends up high and their songs are not too bad. So let’s bet for them. What about France? The usually also get high interest so let’s bet for them. The song is also nice. Russia usually also is high but it fell when the song came out. It is too difficult.… Read more »
France will finish out of the top 5 as usual. They are always high in the odds and then crash with televoting.
Out of the top 5? We will see.
Always high at this time of the year when we get all the songs in competition? Not so sure.
And each year is different.
Crash in televoting maybe not this year who knows, but it seems it would make so happy.
France is all the time overrated by ESC fans. French contestants are all the time predicted in the top 5 and they finish all the time (except in 2017 because they had finally a positive song) out of the top 10… Their problem is that they are often in the top 5 of a lot of people but rarely the top 1… And most people do not vote for the 5 countries they like but only for one …
Always!? I don’t think, in 2020 they weren’t, in 2019, 2018, 2017 neither. I’m talking about the odds. In 2018 and 2019 there are a little rehearsal effect for France in the odds but it didn’t last long. The last time that France was well placed in the odds was in 2016. And sorry but 2016 2017 2019 were positive songs so “finally a positive song” I don’t get your point, France has send moustache and ola ola olé among others to esc for example too they are not the most negative songs it seems. For the televote, France was… Read more »
I have nothing against France, I just want to highlight that this is the same story again and again. They start as favourites in the odds (probably because they can seduce juries) and they finish each time out of the top 5… 1) Please look at the odds, the national ESC fan committees and the votes in “My Eurovision Scoreboard” and you will see that Amir, Billal, Madame Monsieur, Amaury, Patricia Kaas and even Anggun or Alma were in the top 5 once all the songs were out. 2) I should have said finally a QUALITY positive song in 2016… Read more »
Omg Stefania should be afraid to have people like that who support her, you won’t help her acting like that.
I know I sound mean, but I hope she will miss the top 10. The concept is completely stolen from Netta. But of course, she will be placed high by the juries because of the Swedish team behind the song. PRAY THE SWEDS!!!
Indeed. I don’t mind that much about comparing to Netta but I’d root better for Malta if it was all Maltese instead Swedish. They have enough local talent.
I guess you actually wanted to say PAY the Swedes?
or SPRAY the swedes
2019 was fine. Compare this year with 2011. And 2011 is still better.
This is the evidence bookmakers are nuts and live in an alternative dimension. How does this disastrous song is placed SECOND?
It’s also placed top five in the My Eurovision Scoreboard app with over 50k votes right now. I know the fans only make up like 10% of the final outcome in May but my point still stands.
San Marino is ranked 2nd in this same scoreboard but will disastrously finish out of the top 10 in May so can we really believe the scoreboard?
So you know already that San Marino will finish out of the top 10 in May? Wow! can you look into the future? Or did you advise your Crystal ball?
I advised the same Crystal ball which showed me that a stupid guy would comment my post. Pretty impressive tool right ?
Pretty insane to open up the bettings this early. Placing bets on (in most cases) music videos is – well, insane. We all know it will both sound and look VERY different when being performed live, and quite a few singers wont live up to the expectations.
That’s the entire reason for odds. Lure people into betting and maximize profit in case stuff goes unexpected.
Bookmakers don’t care who wins, who bets etc. They’re just there to facilitate a market mostly. While they might set odds at a starting price, they move mostly on demand from the fans after that.
I totally agree. Judging by the released videos can be quite misleading. I per example fear for Destiny’s performance in Rotterdam cause I don’t think she’s matured enough to carry this type of song through. She seemed out of place in several instances during the music video even with the superbly hyperproduced video.
If this is confirmed that Belarus is out of the competition, will the EBU randomly take a participant from SF2 and add it into SF1 to have fair SFs (17 in both and no 16 and 18) ?
At the moment, there are 17 in each semi-final as Armenia withdrew from semi final 2, so even if Belarus withdrew there would 16 in semi final 1 and 17 in semi final 2
My bad, you are right !
If Belarus pull out of semi 1, that means there will only be 6 countries that don’t qualify. Which makes things a little easier when deciding who those 6 are/should be
To be fair nobody thought Belarus were going to qualify with that band, so really it changes little. But. It would mean we don’t have to sit through 3 minutes of cringe, so that’s something to be thankful for. Less is more in this case.
I don’t care about bets, but Italy and Bulgaria will be very low. I’m from Romania and I have no reason to like Russia ( constant teasing with military airplanes across Black Sea), but that song will do well. If I have to put my money, I put on Russian song.
I found it just horrible and messy
Congratulations to Destiny for her amazing song, which is at this time in Youtube Trends in France which is very unusal for a Eurovision song/video, especially from another country.
This seems like a bot to me, such as Toy in 2018 was, but just not as effective.
I know I sound mean, but I. hope she will miss the top 10. The concept is completely stolen from Netta. But of course, she will be placed high by the juries because of the Swedish team behind the song. PRAY THE SWEDS!!!
I think Tout l’Universe is being overrated, the average viewer may see it as Arcade 2.0. (both songs are made by the same composer/lyricist). And the audience might see Je me casse as another Toy. This might hurt the chances of Switzerland and Malta. It pains me to see Italy and San Marino so underrated. Italy offers something different, a rock band who is not afraid of having commercial success (which is a rarity nowadays) and thus brings variety to the contest this year. San Marino offers a summer bop with a international star as guest. And I thought 2020… Read more »
I would not be sure if the “average viewer”, who watches the contest just on that night and votes, will even remember Arcade or Toy tbh xD
I wish I did not remember Waterloo, Love Shine A Light or Euphoria
Actually the middle part of both songs Arcade and Tout L’Universe are so similar that it is a kind of rip off. I played both songs to my family yesterday and they all thought the same they are to similar. But Arcade is more effective and pleasant to listen to. So I am sorry but I think it would be a shame if the same song won twice. The Swiss singer is great but for me the similarities are too much.
I didn’t like Arcade and I love Tout l‘univers. For me two totally different tracks!
you should listen to both of them in a row. The chorous is hauntingly similar. It is the “ah ah “part in Arcade and the chorous “Tout l’ universe” that basically are the same. I think it is a shame the Swiss team did that to the singer. The artist is great should have had a more original song. Now it gives you the feeling of being original. The French language is also amazingly beautiful and makes you the feeling like it is different. But still the similarities are so strong that it can’t be a coincidence.
This is the exact exact exact exact exact same track with the same melody movements at the same time… Denying the similarity is being dishonest.
I love Gjon and I like this song because he brings new things with his wonderful voice and they changed a few things in the orchestration but this song is just a French cover of Arcade.
I like the fact the eurovision is not really predictable this year (no clear 50% favourite as 2019)
Vocally she is undeniably amazing but I don’t like the song. It doesn’t have that wow factor. If she wins it won’t be because of the song but because of her personality. Also this woman empowerment theme is getting ridiculous this year. I am all for it don’t get me wrong but it won’t have the same impact if most of female artists sing about the same thing.
Good luck Malta. I’m routing for the small nations this year.
They’re gonna steal votes from each other, I reckon we could have a shock non-qualifier
the end minute is wow enough for me… its a whole moment
The only think to do is to open the odds after the first rehearsal of all countries, not before.
Yes!
I think people are sleeping on Italy. In the odds they are at a respectable fifth place, but I see that in the comments Italy is not considered or considered extremely overrated. I believe instead that this year the Italian entry can make it because in addition to being a respectable and credible musical proposal, it is sung by a very attractive group, both from the point of view of image and talent. Among other things the “surprise” factor should be considered because no one would expect a song like this from Italy and the type of entry is one… Read more »
Same logic could apply to Lithuania and France…
If people want a sad balad then Bulgaria has no chance against Switzerland. If they want a joyful song then Cyprus and San Marino have no chances against Malta. If they want something a bit different then Sweden, Greece or Iceland have no chance against Italy, France or Lithuania.
I am not saying that I like those songs (Swiss song is very boring and way too arrogant) but that they present more qualities.
They are my number one! But I am too biased, since Måneskin are one of my favourite groups… seeing what they can do on stage, they could do very well! 🙂
Italy’s genre of music is simply not for everyone. And most people don’t understand the lyrics. A fifth place in the odds is in my opinion too generous.
We could have said exactly the same about Jamala’s “1944” and Salvador Sobral’s “Amar pelos dois”.
Those two I didn’t consider as winners at first hand, perhaps Jamala had some winner vibes. but Portugal 2017 and Ukraine 2016 I managed to guess would have some kind of appeal. I really can’t see how Italy will appeal to all kinds of ages and in all countries. People can consider it too loud and noisy. They can end up were Hatari did.
Ukraine only won because of the hot news happening with Russia at this time. This has nothing to do with the quality of the song.
They can appeal to all ages pretty easy. It has wide appeal.
It’s rock and some old people will like it and get it. And Maneskin are young, fresh and cool to appeal to young audiences.
I don’t see a limited target at all in this case.
Finland is better than Italy. That would indeed be a surprise winner.
Yeah Finland is better than Italy because the song has a stronger melody and is less “scary”. Italy sound and look angry imo.
I got money on Switzerland to win and Finland and San Marino each way. I won’t be upset if Malta win though!
I can live with boring if it wins me money
Mate I don’t think you understand the concept of betting. The idea is you bet on what you think will happen, not what you want to happen!
Finland is boring for you, everybody is boring for you, but what do you want? Why you are so bitter and frustrated?
I have backed Malta to win at 20/1 before song came out, also Greece and Slovenia each way. Glad you also understand betting!
why the hell this post could have dislikes? ohh lord
We can’t argue with you, you are agressive and frustrated, so it’s hard. Your way to support your Stefania is to be insulting, nice!
You may like Malta’s entry or not, but I believe that, after the rehearsals, Destiny’s chance of winning will only rise.
Let’s look at 2018, March 16th odds: Israel – ended up being 1st Estonia – ended up being 8th Czech Republic – ended up being 6th Bulgaria – ended 14th Australia – ended up with 9 points from the public and 20th overall Belgium – ended up NQ Norway – ended up being 15tth Netherlands – ended up being 18th Sweden (ok this was their lowest bet but still) – ended up being 7th but buried by televote Greece – ended up NQ Rounding up the final top 10: Cyprus (2nd) was 25th. Austria (3rd) was 16th. Germany (4th) was… Read more »
I think Malta is in a false position, there is always a bounce when a song is first released.
Things are looking very good for Switzerland and Bulgaria. That is where I would be placing my bet.
Odds are really interesting. Belarus is not dead last even though they will be disqualified. Albania made an amaizing revamp that made the song a possible qualifier and had good updates on staging but for some reason they are still last. Portugal and Denmark are disliked by the majority but they do rise in the odds while Croatia and Serbia never do despite them being the most watched videos on Youtube. And how the hell Norway is still around top 10 while it is a clear non-qualifier. I am still upset that now knowing every song Monument would have been… Read more »
Norway will qualify.
Your opinions on Fallen angel is biased, Norway WILL qualify ?
Top 10 finish
I have a feeling France will come on top again once the rehearsals start..
Who knows…… or Switzerland will confirm their place of big favourite like The Netherlands in 2019. France has not the advantage for the moment. All data is in favor of Switzerland like it was for the 2 previous winners, we can’t ignore that…I still think it’s open but for the moment Switzerland is on the way of the victory more than the others, and we all know how it ended during the last two contests, the bookmakers were right about the winners when all songs were released, so very soon and even before the rehearsals.
You cant take only in account the last 2 years. And what about 2011, 2014, 2016, 2017 ? As the same period in 2016 and 2017, Ukraine was 6th and Portugal 5th in the odds, Conchita was really far in the odds too. And still good to remember that if he won, The Netherlands never finish in the first position, in semi or in final, in the televote and jury vote, which show the totally open years 2019 was. He won because he was the most regular in vote.
I don’t see the French entry gathering much televote support . I at one stage thought France 2018 would win . Just can’t see this style of song winning
French entry is more televote friendly than Switzerland, especially in Eastern Europe.
Peoples say the same about Sobral, no televote support, or with Neta, no jury support…
And Nesta only went and came second with the juries (it was at that moment I realised, she had won)
she came third but alas
In 1977…
Bets simply cannot be trusted. How about that a song could win, which is now completely ignored!
I mean the only times in the last ten years that a song outside the top 5 at this point in time has won eurovision was 2014 (Conchita was outside the top 20) and 2016 (Jamala was 6th). So it isnt very likely at all that they are too far off.
I still do not understand 2014 odds as Conchita was the only obvious winner to me.
The odds are getting ridiculous.. Plus they will probably change a lot during the rehearsals.
Knowing how unpredictable odds can be I’m gonna take this with a grain of salt, but I’m loving the top 10, though.
It’s between Switzerland and Russia. Hope is Russia, for the singer. Mr. Tears is not as good as the videoclip. I’m afraid people just want him to win and would have praised him regardless of the song.
I’m very surprised that Azerbaijan is only 16th, and yet Malta soared to 2nd place. With everything considered, there’s no way that Malta will place this high at Eurovision. Let’s be real.
I’m happy to see Albina’s progress though! I always wondered why she’s relatively low at Betting Odds, but I was sure that it was because people were playing safe with so many to be published. Croatia soared from 26th to 18th place within a day. That’s amazing. I hope Albina qualifies and makes good result for Croatia!
Agree…I noticed that about Croatia too. It could be a dark horse of the year. I’m not saying it will win but it could place really high. Plus they just announced Marvin Dietmann is staging Tick Tock
Poor Spain and Portugal ha
Honestly, I don’t think Malta are going to be anywhere near this. A top ten result would be great for them and I wouldn’t even put money on that. I also don’t think Victoria’s song is good enough to guarantee a top five either. It seems more of a 6-10 position song to me. I mean, juries have been known to overrate songs that are just ok but those two seem a bit of a reach.
The bookmaker odds look FAR too much like how juries would vote at Eurovision and not how I’d expect the televote to go.
So now that the NF season is done, we have to wait until May….. it’s sad because we won’t have pre parties again, 1 month and a half with nothing it will be hard……. I hope the Ebu will give us something to enjoy and to be excited for during this “big break”, and I hope the same thing from wiwibloggs and from the pre parties organizers I think about Uk, Spain, The Netherlands, Israel,
don’t let us down.
I realy hope Nikkie is gonne call all artist again like last year
The Oscars are for ESC fans too this year.
I hope Eurovision home conserts return they were great last year
Fingers crossed because these 45 days would be boring with nothing
There’s OGAE results!
Not really exciting….
I want this to remain the really open contest it seems to be bt Switzerland and Malta… and to a lesser degree Bulgaria, France and Italy
It’s still open, some have more chances than others to do well, but it doesn’t mean the others can’t do well too.
did I say that tho lmao, I’m talking about potential winners
Yeah I had understood…
Exciting because Malta or France could make the History during this contest, Malta could be the first nation to have a singer who have won the Jesc and the Esc too.
France could be the first nation to win the Jesc and the Esc in a row, and to host the 2 contests in a row.
And cherry on the cake it would be the first victory of Malta in esc.
While France still wait since 44 years for a victory.
I’m just excited that either a country that has never won or a country that hadn’t won in a long time can win this year, feels like a 2011/2010/2014 kinda year so unpredictable I love it, I’d say at least 20-25 songs are in running at moment
25 potential winners! Wow you are very optimistic it’s cool but it’s a lot!
Yeah, I wonder if he has included Belarus in the pack.
I don’t think 😉 but who knows
Bruh 2011 had much more memorable and outstanding songs. 2014 is one of the strongest about variety. I can’t compare these years to this year even tho I think this year is pretty strong
Why’s my Eurovision top 4 from 2020 literally the same as now? In 2020 it was:
1. Portugal
2. Bulgaria
3. Greece
4. Switzerland
Now it’s:
1. Spain
2. Bulgaria
3. Greece
4. Switzerland.
I can see Malta win the Jury vote, maybe even by quite some margin, the jury will love Destiny’s vocals and respect the song. Its questionable however how it will do in the televote given Malta’s history with the televote.
I still think it’s possible this could still win even if it doesn’t smash the televote. This year seems really divided with some songs that seem like they will do well mainly with jury (Switzerland, Sweden, maybe Bulgaria) and then some songs will likely mainly do well with televote (San Marino, Italy, Finland, Lithuania, Iceland). I think Malta has the chance to snatch the crown by doing fair enough with the televote and doing great with the jury if the year remains split.
My prediction TOP 10 in final
1.Sweden
2.France
3.Switzerland
4.Malta
5.Lithuania
6.Bulgaria
7.Italy
8.Cyprus
9 Azerbaijan
10.Belgium
Honestly PP, don’t be offended, but you predict the favorite to be 3rd all the years and Sweden to win too… it’s time for a change of prediction, it is evident
It’s good sign then 😀
What’s your problem? Post a picture of your face so we can see how dopey you look.
You CAN post pictures in here though. And yeah sure I’ll scroll through thousands of comments just to see your fugly face. Lol no “big boy”
Sorry bud. Sweden will likely do well with jury but they are almost certainly not going to do well with televote. (As has been their trend these past few years)
Switzerland, Malta, Bulgaria, Italy, Iceland overrated.
I don t see Malta, Bulgaria in TOP 3 in final. Switzerland in TOP 2 in final.
Italy in TOP 5 in final.
Sweden will be higher than odds put Sweden.
Sweden will most likely be 7th. I can see a North Macedonia 2019 scenario where Sweden wins the jury, but does horrible with the televote.
Well you dont know that. Sweden is the only one in the top where you know know now it will turn out on the stage. The others have nice and sometimes interventions songs but we dont know they will transform to the stage. So some of them are wild cards. Especially Malta and Bulgaria. And it is very boring to see the same complaint about Sweden and the televote all of the time. Remember that the oppositie happened not so long ago with Frans. Historically there are serveral examples with such differences with other countries. I think Malta is one… Read more »