Sanremo voters weren’t the only ones to get a case of the shivers on Saturday, February 5. The bookies are apparently shaking too.
With nine songs revealed for the Eurovision Song Contest 2022, the betting agencies have Italy’s Mahmood & Blanco down as the favourites to win it all. Their song “Brividi” — a contemporary ballad that sees two men pouring their hearts out — has already climbed to as high as No. 5 on the Spotify Global Viral chart, proving it has cross-border appeal.
Will the so-called “home curse” affect Italy — one of the most consistent nations at Eurovision in recent years? The bookies say no.
Second favourite at the moment is Poland.
The country won’t stage its national final Krajowe Eliminacje until February 19. But buzz has been building since the January 14 confirmation of the lineup.
Fans have been going into meltdown over Krystian Ochman’s song “River”. A quick scroll through YouTube comments sees them praising the emotional number for showcasing his voice. Many say the song gives them goosebumps all over their bodies.
Rounding out the bookies’ Top 3 is Greece’s Amanda Tenfjord.
The singer-songwriter, who was born in Greece but grew up in Norway, has had some success on the Norwegian charts, owing to her folk-indie sound, which comes wrapped in Nordic polish.
She recently told Gala magazine in Greece that her Eurovision entry is her favourite song that she’s ever written. Given the strength of her past work — like “Kill The Lonely” and “Then I Fell In Love” — it’s no wonder the bookies are feeling good.
Eurovision 2022 odds: Italy favourite to win
Accurate as of 18:00 GMT on 6 February
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As you can see, Australia is currently down as fourth favourite. Their national final includes the likes of Eurovision 2017 alum Isaiah Firebrace, Australia Decides returnee Jaguar Jonze and the wildly popular band Voyager.
Which countries do you think the bookies are underrating and overrating at this point?
Serbian song by Konstrakta is pure art in music and perfomance. Nothing like that you can hear on Eurosong this year or even before. You can listen it over and over again and no chance to be born to you.” The artist must be healthy…”
Serbia will be in the Top 3!
Remember Malta last year …..odds and first place???? Malta take 7th place…..they take the money….. Spain is 35/1 …….. really?????
Mark my words. Spain will slay
Chanel’s SlowMo for Spain is SO underrated. Sale thing happened during Spain’s national final… so I won’t be surprised if she does the same in Turin and gets to the top three. Save this comment for later
Its not memorable enough as a song. Amazing performance but we ve seen it… I will end up 13-20
Oh no, you haven’t seen it. You think you have, which is different.
“Brividi” and “River”,
equally 1st place on eurovision 2022,
Unique songs !
Good luck Italy, and Poland
<3
I am Polish. I LOVE Krystain’s song. I don’t really care about the odds because it’s to early to predict anything. The only important thing for me is that my country will choose wisely so we won’t be ashaned of our representative, like last year.
You’re right, it’s way too early to be talking about bookies and favourites with only about 35% of the songs picked, saying Italy is the favourite is pretty pointless at the moment.
Maybe give 2023 odds aswell while you at it? Lmao ??
wow, all I can say is that 180 comments are a lot for people who don’t care about odds!
sooooooo
oddschecker is banned by accessing by greece’s goverment 😀
Despite of thinking that betting odds at this time are absolutely useless, i’m really disappointed about the negativity and toxicity inside some fandoms – especially from Poland and Greece. Do you wanna support your artist? You’re very welcome, so go on every sites and listen to their music, but please don’t push everyone else down just for your pleasure.
What toxicity?
Poland Good luck!!!
Oh hey y’all 😉 just wish that Poland win at least once in ESC… they are so good in Junior ESC
Australia were top for weeks and had only released 2 songs that weren’t any good. These odds are literally based on nothing.
Ps. Voyager and wildly popular shouldn’t belong in the same sentence. ?
Betting odds are fun, but it’s far too early to take them seriously. We haven’t even heard all the songs.
Also, you don’t really know what people will want to hear come May.
Until May Italian song will get bored due a huge success now .There is a light for an underrated and not well known and hearded songs like a Polish one.Ochman’s live performance will be Great too !! Go Poland for your first trophy ever !
Early feb odds top… must be a winner. 😮
#5 on Spotify global top 50. I don’t know about the viral charts but it’s on the actual global daily charts they reached the fifth position!
Quick note before I say anything. I’m Polish and I’m just in love with Ochman’s music, so I may be a little biased (but I’m trying not to). Brividi is a good song and I like it a lot, but I had a feeling that guys struggled with the high notes during the performance and just the whole gig seemed A BIT unpolished and messy. On the other hand I just can’t wait for Ochman to perform “River” live. I’m quite positive that he’s the type of an artist who does better on stage than in studio. The thing that… Read more »
Totally agree about Struggles with high notes and overall performance when singing brividi.
Uff, and I was worried that I was too critical.
To me “River” sounds a lot like last years “tout l’universe”. In style at least. I assume we’ll hear a lot of similar songs this year: with a slow piano intro with gray colors, uplifting loud verse and a fadeaway to high soprano notes. This seems to be a trend. It’ll be intersting to see if “River” will manage to differentiate itself enough from other songs. Would be cool if Poland won 🙂
I mean it’s not only the case of this year. It’s difficult to compose a ballad without using certain instruments, even more if you wanna build specific vibe. It applies not only to Eurovision, but the whole industry. You gotta find different way to make it stand out of the other ones. For Ochman it’s the fusion of classical/opera techniques with modern beats often simmilar to these in rap/trap music. I wouldn’t be worried about his performance, because he’s originally an opera singer, so I’m quite positive that not only he’s gonna do well during national finals, but also it… Read more »
Brividi is charing in many markets in Spotify, iTunes and Apple Music. Interesting!
I don’t know why Greece is so high out of the blue.
Poland will probably do very well.
hey have heard the Greek entry???>>? how
Lol. Hyping up the entry is such a arrogant way is not helping Amanda or Greece. You and many more were hyping up the greek staging like this last year, at the end what we got was cool and fun but far from epic and with many mistakes. Your source is EurovisionFun, everyone can read what the say about the song. I believe too that Amanda will deliver something great because shes a great artist but really, no need for this kind of arrogant hype, it only annoys eurofans. Even if the song is a masterpiece some people can start… Read more »
The think is that those coments come out from people that they are not Greeks, believe me
What is your real problem with Greece? What is the matter with your behavior? Whoever writes for Greece there is a conspiracy theory written by you down… Are you someone who hates Greece or what? There are millions of posts that i read that I have a different opinion, that sometimes I laugh or that sometimes I believe that someone may lie or try to manipulate vote and I dont care about thay means I dont reply. .. But youuu??? Is like you want to convince people about yoooourrr opinion??? Why is that? Dont you have more things to do… Read more »
You uncultured thing, I am the biggest fan of Amanda. My username is literally her name backwards. You cant understand my comment and you think its hateful because you are one of those toxic eurofans that think that hyping up an entry in an arrogant way and to the extreme extent will do any good.
you dont know me. how you dare of speaking to me like this and make announcements about me? this is insult.. you are calling me toxic cause I have a different opinion than you? are you a bot or what? you dont even know me. keep playing your hateful game and leave us enjoy music!!!
You made a whole post about me and I am the one who speaks about you and attacks you? Get out of my face
This post was a reply to all the posts that you write about Greece and your conspiracy theories… Dont think too much cause you are burning your head. This was not my post as you see but someone elses that you just used (after so many more posts) just to speak bad for Greeks and greek fan clubs for no reason just because they support their singer and they try to promote her. This is insane. You are insane i guess. So after all these posts your time came too have an answer. so take your answer and leave us… Read more »
just check who wrote first an essay about Greeks and how bad they are! unacceptable version of person
My dear Otis I didnt say anything bad about Greeks or greek fan clubs! I only talked about some people that do one particular kind of arrogant hyping up! And I only said it because I dont want people to be annoyed by Amanda before they even hear the song! We are on the same side here, are you really unable to see it?
Please, stop embarrassing Greek fans and yourself
I wouldn’t say “River” sounds like Arcade, but it does sound like they tried to copy it and ended up with a cheap knock-off instead. It’s still an improvement vs. what Poland has sent in recent years though (but that says more about the low quality of their recent entries than about River itself).
A cheap knock-off? yeah, you wish.
oh cmon guys, it’s a good ballad that sticks to your head. Yes it reminds me of some songs like Arcade but it is a good song that could be a surprise winner. As if we were not surprised when Portugal won in 2017 or Azerbaijan in 2011~!
To each their own taste! 🙂 I see what you’re saying but I don’t think your examples are good: Portugal 2017 was always a favorite (odds slightly below Occidentali’s Karma before the contest kicked off, then jumped to first right when rehearsals started) and Azerbaijan 2011 is broadly considered the worst winner ever (on top of having the lowest point average across all ESC winners) so I’d rather not have that kind of “surprise” again.
Running Scared is one of the best winners in my opinion.
Fairytale on the other hand was so cheap and bland… how it won is beyond me.
Dami I’m should have also beat 1944.
Kate Miller Heidke was robbed.
Efendi was massively robbed last year.
Roxen and Albina should have at the very least qualified
The EU voting public have some questionable taste that is for sure
Just one question !Are you Italian ?
Nope.
No, it’s mainly because a person or two have listened to the Greek entry and they think it’s a strong contestant.
Also because a 10 second snippet has been released from the Trondheim Soloists in an Instagram story.
It sounds very promising.
brividi is charting in 11 countries on spotify today so i can totally understand the hype
I think I would have liked Brividi much more if someone like Fedez sang this instead of Mahmood. I know he is married and has children, but now I’m talking only about voice and energy that I prefer. It’s all just about personal preference and I’m not big fan of Mahmood’s taste and music.
Mahmood can sing, Fedez can’t. Mahmood wrote that song with Blanco. And actually it is quite unfortunate that non Italian speakers are not able to understand the words. The song is mainly in rhymes.
To take a break from bickering over the odds, I have news that Austria will announce their artist tomorrow! I don’t know if it is only the artist name or a song release too, but I am excited to see who will represent Austria.
Delegations have started playing games with the bookies early this year.
malta has joined the chat
Destiny and the rest of the Maltese team learned their lesson. I don’t think they will try this strategy this year. Maybe in the future, when the Destiny-fiasco will be forgotten.
It wasn’t destiny paying for betting odds but the Maltese broadcaster as they did in 2016 and 2019.
Same for Azerbaijan in previous years
Please, let’s not pretend Destiny was an innocent angel. She knew what was happening. Knew about the odds, the plethora of “vote for Malta” ads, the bias of the ESC sites in favor of her.
And she was the most arrogant singer of all. She literally gave herself 12 points on Nikki’s interview.
Esc 2021 is over and some truths must be finally spoken.
True thank god that fatty flopped hard and should of been even lower
How is nobody talking about Spain???
Because it’s not that great.
Yeah it is outside the top 10 which is a surprise considering we still have not heard most of the songs. I guess SPAIN will go back to the top 10 as soon as have heard all of the songs (unless this year is strong?).
It wont happen guys. Chanel is amazing but shes 4-5 years late, she could have been top 10 in previous years but now… weve seen this, weve heard this. Absolutely no shade, I love Chanel and I enjoy the performance, I just can see why its not high on the bets.
Cyprus has tried this genre before with Fuego, Replay, El Diablo & La La Love . All 4 of them were much much better than SloMo.
Because SloMo isn’t as good as the die-hard fans think it is?
I think Norway will win the televote with the banana song. Italy may win jury though.
Why do you really believe that italy can win jury? jajajaj i have to remind you that jury was the one that did not help mahmood to win in the past also. Who told tha juries always have to insist in ballads? and especially the bland ballads of Italy? Italy was never supported when they have sent typical ballads. will not be an exception. Italy can only be saved by voters this year! Mahmood voice will be again a mess in eurovision like previous time. In san remo he was outstanding and during final a mess!!
because juries didnt vote for mahmood because he is mahmood and so brividi is going to do exactly the same with the juries this year as soldi did in 2018?
no but if you think in that way … you can wonder also why juries are going to do exactly how they do with every italian entry and have italy top?
Soldi was 2019
The odds are wrong. San Marino will win with a new record of most points. They will be represented by Valentina Monetta ft Lady Gaga. Their NF is a trick to make a surprise announcement at the start of March.
Valentina’s backyard 2023 <3
San Marino / Cyprus colab? :0
Do you think is there any case Lithuania can win this year?
Omg people i haven’t heard the Lithuania songs yet that’s why I am asking. Try to keep your inner angry shelf on the closet. Jesus, the negativity here is outrageous.
No, San Marino will win.
Sentimentai and Not Your Mother are the stand-up entries from Lithuania.
WHy are you asking about Lithuania specifically?? Their NF songs suck (for my taste ofc) and i can see no good song that can reach top 10.
he is asking because for his taste the songs are good
Italy’s the only one that belongs in the conversation at the moment but I can’t imagine them winning it all again this year. Their stellar 2017-2021 run (Diodato included) is finally over. Probably the best run any country has ever had in ESC history, taking into account not just the results, but most importantly quality of the entries themselves and their staying power…
2015-2021… Don’t leave Grande Amore out of it.
Grande Amore is a masterpiece. But their.2016 entry was mediocre at best and cannot be included in the golden era.
2018 song was underwhelming as well.
Not my cup of tea either, but most people it, so it’s “quality”.
I’m very curious about Montenegro and United Kingdom. I think this year’s winner will be internally selected.
I think the UK will finish in the TOP5 this year.
Tomi, if you think that, please get yourself onto Betfair and back it. Last year I had a real struggle finding anyone to match my bet for the UK to come last. Admittedly it was the deadest of certs ever. This year is unlikely to be any different, despite all the hype about the Dua Lipa team running it.
Greeks are hyping their entry again. Yawn.
I’m Greek and I’m extremely surprised that we are that high in the odds
please, the team and the sites that get information from them hype it, Greeks dont even know who Amanda is
true but who cares, if the song is not strong, Greece will drop just like other countries.
Odds, at this early stage of the competition, are quite useless. However Italy’s17% chance of winning is problably problably boosted by the massive success Brividi is getting on the international streaming platforms.
In fact, the global success of Brividi at Spotify does not mean people across the whole world and Europe listen to it, most those streams are from Italy and Italy has more than 60 millions of people.
It’s not enough with 60 million streams to make it to the top. Otherwise you would have had a lot more Italian music on the global charts. Italy is always playing the Sanremo participants a lot. But it’s just there two recent years that the winners charted globally.
I think theres no point in betting until all the acts are in.
actually you can make good money if you bet on countries now before we hear all of them and we get an idea of the big songs.
This is true. Top 5 for Sweden and bottom 5 for UK and Spain has worked well for me for four years out of five over nearly the last 15 years actually. Add in Germany to be bottom 5 and you have some nice bets, if anyone will take them that is.
so called “Eurofans” are haters of Poland. The truth is that “River” is the best song we’ve ever had, but their expectations are only growing and growing… Even if Jennifer Lopez was representative of Poland, they would still complain.
On the other hand I’m sure that if River represented Australia or Sweden, they would pee out of rejoice.
How are eurofans haters of Poland, everyone loves River lol
if you really think the community loves sweden in eurovision than it’s clear you havent followed anything eurovision related in the last few years lmao. If you’re trying to make a point then atleast make a logical comparison.
To be honest, I’m not a fan of homophobic, anti-LGBTQ states that live in the medieval times and violate human rights.
So yeah, I might be a hater of Poland Hungary, Russia, Belarus and whatever. I have the right to do it.
This is the song contest. Let’s vocus on the songs and be beyond politics. In the olimpics the best player wins no matter the country !
ulalala….so INTOLERANT…shame on YOU
I didn’t choose this government so stop crying
Drama queen much???
No one hates Poland, everyone says that River is probably the strongest song from Poland but it’s not very original or ground breaking.
However, i do stand with the betting odds, i think Poland could pull a Netherlands 2019 and win with combined votes. They have a strong televoting potential and juries could fall behind this entry.
River is a good song. I just don’t like the fact it is sung in English. Why not in Polish?
Greece is now second in the odds, not third.
Betting odds are funny.
Largely pointless until all the songs are released.
I hate them.
Please. Most of the artist and/or songs are not known at this moment. Start the bookie-blogs when all songs can be heard and streamed. Italian entree totally overrated IMO. Weak entry after three fantastic songs (2019, 2020 and 2021). I think Mahmood and his friend will end up like Bilal’s ‘Roi’ in 2019.
I have a feeling you are right there, Bart. Italy suffers a bit from the fact that Sanremo winners already have a competitive start, so the entry feels more impressive than it actually is, and of course at this stage there are only a few songs to compare it with.
The thing with Rivers and Poland is that EBU would like the contest to go to Poland next year, as Poland is already with one foot out of the EU. They think that an ESC in Warsaw would be a very positive sock for the human rights there, that’s why they promote the possibility of a polish win so much.
xDDD
If they want a “Polexit” – fine. Traveling people shouldn’t be stopped (like the UK). It is sad but we can’t change that (and Poland should take Hungary with them). If they want, they can join the “Club Russia”. To give them the ESC hosting, that they don’t leave the EU, is a stupid reason.
PolEND is better imo. Exit doesn’t sound right
Poland is NOT one foot out of EU.
Damnn the EBU should have let that belarusian protest song win in 2020. Belarus would get rid of lukashenko, join NATO, and introduce gay marriage all in the same year I think.
Poland doesn’t want to get out of the EU. At this point, its government is like a leech, they’ll suck the most resources out of the EU before they’re kicked out.
Oh yeah, that makes sense… As we all know, the EBU already tried to give the win to the UK in 2016 before the Brexit referendum. Unfortunately it didn’t work out: Joe and Jake with „you’re not alone“ (…) came third to last.
Poland is not out of the EU. Even the fascists in the government said they are notr leaving the EU because they know it will destroy the country (see Brexit chaos).
Also, Poland hosted Junior Eurovision twice 🙂
The EBU has nothing to do with the EU. Clue:Australia, Azerbaijan, Israel and loads of other non EU nations are in it.
I find placing Israel higher than Albania abominable.
Albania are ALWAYS placed really low in the odds right up until the contest starts.
But remember, it is odds to WIN the contest and historically, Albania’s results are not good. That does play a part in the odds at this stage.
very true words!
Any news from Switzerland, France, and Germany?
Germany will reveal their potential acts in 3 days, with an online voting starting at the end of the month and a NF early march, France I don’t know probably a sign of life soon, Switzerland will wait until the end to reveal their act as always nothing new like Belgium, they are not even surprising.
I personally would like to have news about Russia, Azerbaidjan, Armenia and Georgia’s song too.
In recent years, Switzerland has systematically published its song in the second week of March.
I hope they send an Italian language song in honor of the Host Country Italy, but I’m gonna get really upset if they just send a rock song just because Italy won with one.
France NF will take place this month
Source? There is no official confirmation yet and we’re towards mid February. Shouldn’t we have a press conference first?
I think and i hope France is waiting to surp[rise us first.
At the end of Junior eurovision the commentator who hosts the french NF said ” see you in February for the NF ” and apparently the show will be called ” En route pour l’eurovision ” you can already find the website on the internet
The first digital feedback around Europe already says that the song has the potential to become an international hit. Meanwhile, Billboard – the prestigious US magazine – already certifies it at the top of the European digital chart, a result that the other Eurovision song by Mahmood had already managed to centralize, namely “Money”, always before the competition
The song has also already reached the fifth place in the Global Top200 on Spotify, the large international streaming platform with over three million streams (3,384,192) in just 24 hours, surpassing the previous Italian record.
River is not that good and the fact that people compare it to Arcade and Switzerland 2021 is beyond me.
they compare it based on the music. I don’t like the guy’s accent, it is too thick.
The guy was born and lived all his life in the USA
You mean his thick … American accent?
What is the point of these odds when the majority of the songs are not yet known?
I think I would rather bet on who will not definetely win at this stage. I already ruled out more than 10.
I like Brividi, but I think it’s crazy to start betting for a song/country this early. We don’t know most songs yet!
But that’sd how you earn money. As soon as all the songs are revealed, people more or less know the biggest contenders and bet on them which makes earnings lower.
I am sure most of the insiders bet on countries now before the songs are revealed. That’s why we saw Netherlands so high in 2019 before they publish the song (same for Switzerland in the same year, a country that was struggling for over a decade).
Sorry, but River is doing nothing for me. Kind of the same ally like Sergey’s song Scream in 2019. Just ESC bait. But compliments to Ochman for at least co-writing the song.
If River gets a result like Scream, Poland should definitely choose Ochman! 😀
I think it is better than Scream but i see your point, they are in the same music genre
if alina pash epic majestetic “monster ballad” win vidbir there is a real maybe THE contender.
if monika liu win in lithuania we have a second top5 contender..
river from poland is another real contender for top5.
it will be an interesting ESC in turin for sure.
🙂
Monika Liu is a contender for the bottom 5 of semi-final 1
Monica Liu?? Cmon guys try to be objective 🙂 Liu’s song will not appeal to the European audience (Lithuanian diaspora for sure).