Ukraine, Zlata Ognevich, 2

Another week, another set of Eurovision 2013 betting odds. Things at the top remain relatively stable, with Denmark, Norway and the Netherlands remaining the early favourites. But Ukraine’s Zlata Ognevich appears to be defying gravity. The Ukrainian beauty, who is currently performing very well in our search for Eurovision’s Next Top Model 2013, has moved passed Russia and Sweden to claim fourth position on the odds table. Germany, Italy, Georgia and Azerbaijan round out the Top 10. (Update: Since we published this post earlier this afternoon Ukraine’s Zlata has moved passed Holland’s Anouk into third position). 

But don’t let the movement at the top blind you from what’s going on further down. This week’s biggest climber is San Marino’s Valentina Monetta. She’s leapfrogged from 21 on the table when we last checked in on March 19 all the way to 13. The second biggest climber was Belgium’s Roberto Bellarosa who has moved from spot 39 (yes, last) up seven places to 32. Romania and Spain have also climbed seven spots, moving to 28 and 27, respectively.

On the opposite side of things, Hungary’s ByeAlex is this week’s biggest loser. He dropped seven positions from 28th to 35th. Iceland fell six spots to 37, and Moldova fell five spots to 22.

Below you can see two charts. The first is a ranking compiled by averaging the odds from ten of Europe’s leading betting agencies. The numbers show odds from Bet365 and SkyBet, two of the ten agencies. The second chart shows how each contestant’s ranking has changed among the bookies from March 19 to March 31. They are listed in order of momentum. San Marino is tops for showing the greatest rise. Countries with a zero have not seen any change in position (hence Denmark, Norway and the Netherlands all have zeroes, despite being the front-runners). A negative number means the bookies have been losing a degree of faith.

Latest odds (March 31)

1. Denmark 2, 2
2. Norway 5, 5
3. Netherlands 8, 10
4. Ukraine 12, 12
5. Sweden 10, 12
6. Russia 12, 12
7. Germany 14, 18
8. Italy 16, 18
9. Georgia 22, 22
10. Azerbaijan 18, 22
11. UK 20, 28
12. Belarus 16, 18
13. San Marino 20, 25
14. Ireland 33, 40
15. Finland 50, 50
16. Armenia 40, 25
17. Greece 33, 28
18. Serbia 40, 33
19. Austria 50, 50
20. France 66, 50
21. Malta 80, 50
22. Moldova 66, 50
23. Israel 50, 66
24. Estonia 50, 50
25. Lithuania 80, 100
26. Switzerland 80, 50
27. Spain 100, 66
28. Romania 66, 66
29. Cyprus 100, 100
30. Montenegro 100, 100
31. Slovenia 80, 80
32. Belgium 125, 150
33. Croatia 66, 66
34. FYR Macedonia 100, 100
35. Hungary 80, 80
36. Albania 100, 66
37. Iceland 100, 100
38. Latvia 100, 100
39. Bulgaria 100, 100

Change in Position

Country Mar-19 Mar-31        Change
San Marino 21 13 8
Belgium 39 32 7
Romania 35 28 7
Spain 34 27 7
Finland 20 15 5
Cyprus 33 29 4
UK 15 11 4
FYR Macedonia 37 34 3
Georgia 11 9 2
Malta 23 21 2
Ukraine 6 4 2
Germany 8 7 1
Israel 24 23 1
Azerbaijan 10 10 0
Denmark 1 1 0
Latvia 38 38 0
Lithuania 25 25 0
Netherlands 3 3 0
Norway 2 2 0
Serbia 18 18 0
Switzerland 26 26 0
France 19 20 -1
Ireland 13 14 -1
Italy 7 8 -1
Russia 5 6 -1
Slovenia 30 31 -1
Sweden 4 5 -1
Estonia 22 24 -2
Austria 16 19 -3
Belarus 9 12 -3
Bulgaria 36 39 -3
Greece 14 17 -3
Montenegro 27 30 -3
Albania 32 36 -4
Armenia 12 16 -4
Croatia 29 33 -4
Moldova 17 22 -5
Iceland 31 37 -6
Hungary 28 35 -7

22 Comments
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DEX
DEX
8 years ago

Zlata is a great person and singer ,but her song is outdated,oldfashion,noo hit.It will be forgotten in 1 hour,next day no one would listen!

Ketal
Ketal
8 years ago

Zlataaaaa!

Ketal
Ketal
8 years ago

Zlata got talanted! (Greece)

Arnold
Arnold
8 years ago

Zlata winner is eurovision! From Estonia!

emal
emal
8 years ago

I hope that Malta will do well.

dylan
dylan
8 years ago

malta,denmark or Germany

phil
phil
8 years ago

Malta is my favourite

Rostyslav
Rostyslav
8 years ago

Only Zlata! Only Gravity!

Alex
Alex
8 years ago

Outside of Norway’s, Ukraine’s is the most overrated song this year. It’s still good, but if anything this just demonstrates that Ukraine can send a somewhat catchy song with a decent singer and do well for no reason other than being Ukraine. (Still scratching my head over the jury falling head over heels for Be My Guest last year, and Angel the year before that.) It makes no sense that Bulgaria is last in the betting odds… these same performers were top 5 in 2007 with an extremely discordant song, and this year’s is much, much catchier. I have to… Read more »

Emily
8 years ago

How is Bulgaria in last place?

Nelly
Nelly
8 years ago

I’m absolutely sure she can win. She really looks beautiful, the song is also nice and I think her live perfomance wiil be incredible. She can sing live, and her voice even better the emelie’s

Nelly
Nelly
8 years ago

I’m absolutely sure she can win. She really looks beutiful, the song is also nice and I think her live perfomance wiil be incredible. She can sing live, and her voice even better the emelie’s

Sarki Cevirilerim
8 years ago

She deserves it!

Penny
Penny
8 years ago

I think Zlata just has a lot of hype around her…female singers from Ukraine always tend to perform well in the Finals, but let’s not kid ourselves – she’s no Ani Lorak! I think Anouk will do well in that her song stands out from the other ballads, barring maybe Margaret Berger, and she’ll pick up plenty of points from the Western Europeans! I also really like Belgium’s song, and not sure why Ireland is rated so highly – song seems distinctly average and Ryan can’t deliver the vocals live!!

Wouter
Wouter
8 years ago

Don’t know how the bet stuff works but Zlata and Anouk got the same highest odd 14/1… so for me they are both 3rd. Zlata is a really good singer, no doubt about that, but the song is too Disney for me. It will absolutely be in the top 10 in the final. Most important for me is that Anouk makes the final. And also i think Belgium can make the final, why not?… Belgium also lucky that we(Netherlands) are in it. We always give each other points…still can’t understand why Greece and Armenia are so high.

henk jan
henk jan
8 years ago

She doesn’t sing… she yells and screams. Her backings ruin the song even more.

henk jan
henk jan
8 years ago

One of the worst entries this year. Very overrated just like Irelands song.
Her pronounciation is very bad, live on stage it won’t work because of the monkey-a-like-sounds her backings make. It just won’t make sense.

Alex B
Alex B
8 years ago

Well the odds reflect the fact that she can definitely win the competition this year and it wouldn’t even shock me if she won her semifinal.

Hot girl that can sing, mainstream song, with a confident and strong staging all of this is a recipe for success.

@eurana
I also can see Belgium making the final. The song is not as bad as the critics think.

eurana
eurana
8 years ago

Belgium can make the Grand Finale. I believe in Roberto Bellarosa. He is a good singer. Zlata is the Pastora Soler this year.

Joyces
Joyces
8 years ago

Konstantin, are you crazy? The only one that can sing:)) you are very funny!

Konstantin
Konstantin
8 years ago

May I point something out? Zlata is only woman at Eurovision who can sing, besides Dina Garipova but her song is predicitble. I think Eurovision ’14 is in Kyiv no doubt. Jury love. People love. Zlata love!

John Browdy
John Browdy
8 years ago

Zlata is great. I hope she will win