With half of the Eurovision 2016 field now filled out, we’ve seen some significant with the odds to win. That’s because Super Saturday took place, a new Supernova winner was crowned and the big powers of Germany, the UK and France all made their choices. With oddschecker.com as our guide once again, here’s what the bookmakers are saying right now about the Eurovision 2016 odds.
How to bet on Eurovision 2016
You can see a table of the current betting odds to win the Eurovision 2016 grand final below. The odds are likely to shift significantly during the upcoming preview party season — when we hear many of the acts live for the first time. If you have an inkling someone is underrated you may want to jump on it and bet now while you can still get decent returns. You may find it useful to read this guide on how and where to bet on Eurovision 2016 before proceeding.
Eurovision 2016 Odds: February 29, 2016
Poland remain on top
There’s no change at the very top of the pile, with Poland holding tight to the number one spot. The bookmakers still clearly have a lot of faith in Margaret, despite her “questionable” live performance last week. In fact, Poland’s odds have lowered a little more since last week. They are now 3-1 favourites, compared with 7-2 last week. If Margaret can overcome the cold that reportedly held her back — and Edyta Górniak — then expect those odds to go down even more after Krajowe Eliminacje.
Latvia and Sweden catching Russia
As we continue to wait for Sergey Lazarev’s song reveal, the momentum seems to be shifting away from Russia in the betting market. Latvia’s odds tumbled during Supernova and Justs is now tied with Sergey at 5-1 in most markets as second favourite. We’ll see whether that remains the same come the 5th of March, when Russia show their hand in full.
With knowledge of all 16 remaining songs at Melodifestivalen, the bookmakers also have had the confidence to lower Sweden’s odds. This mainly seems to have come off the back of Frans’ breakout performance on Saturday night. He’s already become the favourite to win Melfest and that has seen Sweden’s odds change slightly, from 8-1 to 7-1.
Mixed fortunes for the Big Five
There’s already been considerable changes in the market, with France shooting up in to 7th place with the bookmakers. Amir’s “J’ai cherché” hasn’t even been released in its ultimate three minute form, but this is already the best response to a French song since “Sognu” dominated the odds in 2011. The best odds on France are still 16-1, but this could get much lower still.
Not so much luck for the four other members of the “Big Five”. Germany’s odds have slipped since Jamie-Lee Kriewitz’s victory with “Ghost”, though they remain in the top ten. Italy, however, has drastically slipped in the odds, perhaps off the back of Francesca saying that she might still change her song. They have gone from best odds of 20-1 to now being as high as 40-1, tied with Spain’s Barei. As for the UK, Joe and Jake’s triumph at Eurovision: You Decide has seen practically no change for the country’s odds. They remain outsiders at 25-1.
A few other notable changes in the market include Armenia moving to just outside the top five as anticipation builds for Iveta Mukuchyan’s “Love Wave”. Cyprus also find themselves just outside the top ten with odds of 25-1 available, following the positive reaction to “Alter Ego”. That’s all at the expense of Norway, despite Agnete’s convincing victory at MGP this weekend. They’ve moved from 16-1 to 25-1 also, joining a whole host of other countries in the same position.
What do you think of the odds this week? Should Poland still be at the top and do you think any of the other songs could move higher as the week goes on? Let us know in the comments section or via our Twitter page.