The producers at Denmark’s state broadcaster DR have revealed the Eurovision semi-final running order. As at the 2013 contest, the producers allocated countries to the first or second half of each semi during a random draw back in January. However, they have taken the liberty of deciding who will sing when within their half of the semi. It’s all about producing an interesting show—and preventing seven ballads from singing in a row.


As we’ve discussed countless times before, running order does play a role in the final results. And countless Eurovision fans believe that the EBU gently nudges juries about the countries it wants to see host. Based on the order below, you may be able to glean a bit of insight into who the EBU is hoping will win.

First Semi-Final Running Order

1. Armenia: Aram Mp3 with “Not Alone”

2. Latvia: Aarzemnieki with “Cake to Bake”

3. Estonia: Tanja with “Amazing”

4. Sweden: Sanna Nielsen with “Undo”

5. Iceland: Pollapönk with “No prejudice

6. Albania: Hersiana Matmuja with “One Night’s Anger”

7. Russia: The Tolmachevy Twins with “Shine”

8. Azerbaijan: Dilara with “Start a Fire”

9. Ukraine: Maria Yaremchuk with “Tick-Tock”

10. Belgium: Axel Hirsoux with “Mother”

11. Moldova: Cristina Scarlat with “Wild Soul”

12. San Marino: Valentina Monetta with “Maybe”

13. Portugal: Suzy with “Quero Ser Tua

14. Netherlands: The Common Linnets with “Calm After the Storm”

15. Montenegro: Sergej Cetkovic with “Moj svijet” (My World)

16. Hungary: András Kállay-Saunders with “Running”

  • Producers have put Aram Mp3, the runaway favourite, in starting position. A lot of y’all are surprised by this. The curse of performing first—hey Natalia Kelly!—won’t be lost on Eurovision fans. However, Armenis has such momentum producers likely understand that performing first won’t hurt him, and that he’ll make sure viewers are on their sofas and tuning in on time.
  • The lineup is generally quite varied, though there does appear to be a ballad/power-ballad section from 10 to 12 with Belgium, Moldova and San Marino. Portugal’s Suzy will snap us out of it with her samba in position 13
  • Sweden’s Sanna is sandwiched between two upbeat numbers. Her mellow number will stand out!
  • San Marino’s Valentina Monetta had to perform second in her semi-final last year, and then narrowly missed a spot in the final. Are producers making up for that this year?
  • Montenegro placed fourth with the public last year, but then had a dismal showing with the juries. Eurovision fans were angry. Is performing next-to-last the producer’s way of saying, “You were done wrong”?
  • There’s a lot of buzz around Hungary’s Kallay-Saunders, and producers have looked kindly on him. Do they want to keep a fan favourite for the end? Is this a sign there is support from the powers-that-be to promote Hungary as much as possible? They certainly deserve it following the success of their A Dal selection series

Second Semi-Final Running Order

1. Malta: Firelight with “Coming Home”

2. Israel: Mei Finegold with “Same Heart”

3. Norway: Carl Espen with “Silent Storm”

4. Georgia: The Shin with “Three Minutes to Earth”

5. Poland: Donatan and Cleo with “Slavic Girls”

6. Austria: Conchita Wurst with “Rise like a Phoenix”

7. Lithuania: Vilija Mataciunaite with “Attention”

8. Finland: Softengine with “Something Better”

9. Ireland: Can-linn feat Kasey Smith with “Heartbeat”

10. Belarus: Teo with “Cheesecake”

11. FYR Macedonia: Tijana Dapcevic with “To the Sky”

12. Switzerland: Sebalter with “Hunter of Stars”

13. Greece: Freaky Fortune feat. Riskykidd with “Rise Up”

14. Slovenia: Tinkara Kovach with “Spet/Round and Round”

15. Romania: Paula Seling & Ovi with “Miracle”

  • Malta has the indiginity of opening this semi. This does not bode well. Their song isn’t a huge favourite, and forcing them to go first may signal death.
  • Norway, one of this year’s favourites, will present its somber ballad after a electro dance number. Talk about a scene change!
  • Given all the technical difficulties that Poland faced when opening the show back in 2011 (the last time they participated), we knew there was no way they’d be opening again. They’ll sing fifth.
  • Romania’s Paula Seling & Ovi, who placed third back in 2010, were already locks for the final. Performing last suggests how much producers believe in their song. They want viewers to stick around until the end, and stay interested during the interval / voting period.

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Guest

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So good to discover someone with genuine thoughts on this subject
matter. Seriously.. thank you for starting this up.
This site is one thing that’s needed on the web, someone with some originality!

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[…] minds with a lot more Eurovision number crunching experience than I possess such ESC Insight and WiWiBloggs, have taken a look at who landed where and determined the possible winners and losers from the […]

MOON-FLOWER
Guest

Malta and Azerbaijan my favorite<3

Nebi
Guest
Nebi

Once concern of the Semi Final format is that several countries rarely make the final and they will find it is no longer worth the expense to participate if they never make the show with high viewership. A 43 song final is too long but having Switzerland, Netherlands or Latvia almost never making the final will eventually push out long time participants.

Alex
Guest
Alex

I like that they forced songs that are likely qualifiers to be in the 1st spots. Just wish Latvia didn’t get stuck going 2nd, and that they didn’t put such obvious qualifiers in the last spots. Save that for San Marino or other countries with poor geopolitical support.

CookyMonzta
Guest
CookyMonzta

András getting the pimp spot on Day 1? He’s almost certain to make the final. So will Paula and Ovi with the pimp spot on Day 2.

Hesen_Mirzoyev
Guest

Azerbaijan will win !
Dilara Kazimova – “Start of Fire ”
??????????????

1 Eurovision Blog
Guest
1 Eurovision Blog
Nebi
Guest
Nebi

Now that the playlist is available I have been able to both semis in order and have my preference not to advance (not my prediction unfortunately).
1st Semi Final
Armenia
Albania
Russia
Belgium
San Marino
Netherlands

2nd Semi Final
Norway
Georgia
Austria
Lithuania
Macedonia

I had to cut down my list on the 1st and had trouble identifying acts to not make the final on the 2nd.

1eurovisionblog
Guest
1eurovisionblog

EXCLUSIVE: UK’s molly promotional tour diary so far. After a bit of investigating I found some dates.

Read it on my blog ; http://1eurovisionblog.wordpress.com/2014/03/25/molly-promotional-diary-so-far/

Dan
Guest
Dan

Haha I hope so NargizAZ. ,otherwise I will feel like I am watching another Robin Thicke.

NargizAZ.
Guest
NargizAZ.

@ Dan

I dont think that Belarus will get so much points from televoting, and I am almost sure that juries will place it at bottom. Even if they will get Top 5 with televoting (strongly doubt it), jury voting will not let them to qualify (Montenegro 2013)!! 🙂

Dan
Guest
Dan

@NargizAZ. Kinda agree with you .But Belarus hmmm ..some people find it catchy song ..I am afraid they will vote for it . However, who knows within 10 years they have only qualified for 3 times , not so good results .

NargizAZ.
Guest
NargizAZ.

I listened all the songs in this order and now I think that from first semi Latvia, Iceland, Portugal, San Marino, Albania 🙁 , Moldova won’t make it to the final, and from second semi Belarus, Switzerland, Lithuania, Slovenia and Macedonia will not pass!

Zolan
Guest
Zolan

Armenia and Malta will be memorable enough in the recap. They’ll be fine.
Estonia helps Sweden.
Belgium suffers after Ukraine, but helps Moldova.
Portugal has a decent setup.
Netherlands helps Montenegro.
Austria suffers between Poland and Lithuania.
After that it gets too confusing for a quick impression.

Dene
Guest
Dene

Not impressed that Malta is going first, however, if they sing it well on the night they should sail through to the finals…. I love the Maltese entry this year, the more you listen the more you love…

SJ
Guest
SJ

I don t know why we have in first semi final second part 11.Moldova 12 San Marino 13.Portugal 3 female singers in row and on the end of show 2 male singer 15. Montenegro 16.Hungary

Leon
Guest
Leon

@Adrian Lacoste – I remember that. Sirusho was actually one of the hot favorites with the bookies ( I think second favorite to win). Then #5 happened lol

Adrian Lacoste
Guest
Adrian Lacoste

If Armenia gets first half of grand final they will place high but will certainly not win just like in 2008.

Erin
Guest
Erin

Israel qualified from a 2nd position spot at the first semi-final in 2008 and from a 3rd position in the second semi-final in 2010. Austria, Russia, Armenia, Iceland, FYR Macedonia and Estonia qualified from a 2nd position in recent years. The most notable cases where early favorites failed to qualify from a 2nd position were Norway 2011 (Stella Mwangi) and San Marino 2013 (Valentina Monetta). There were several cases over the last 5 years where countries positioned first and second on the same semi-final managed both to qualify. So this so-called 2nd position ‘curse’ is not what it seems: Actually,… Read more »

Dan
Guest
Dan

@Leon exactly .That’s why I think it was organized.I (and not only I)do not even remember 2011 winner song so it was not EVEN good. And agree Boom boom was not good I noticed that Armenians did not like it too.I see that they are kinda objective nation.They did not like Emmy ,Dorians entry so did not really support that much but they like and support Sirusho and Aram mp3.But still the fact that Armenia and Turkey did not qualified same time was of course strange and as I said later was clear why and entries had nothing to do… Read more »

Trebinium
Guest
Trebinium

I’m so happy that Armenia’s first to go 😀 Not surprised Romania’s the last.

My TOP 37

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lPJEzLFh5_I

Easpag
Guest
Easpag

Out of all the countries I didn’t want to be beside in the running order, Finland, Greece and Romania topped the list. So of course, who do we get? Finland. Great. That is slightly countered by the fact Belarus follows us. I still think we will qualify. Poor Israel. Their best song in years gets a terrible placing. I really do hope that they still qualify though. Hopefully the juries will like Mei, and they get a fantastic placing in the final. Poland also have a brilliant placing. The weirdness of Georgia and the slow tempo of Austria will really… Read more »

Joseph
Guest
Joseph

I don’t believe that by Malta being placed 1st is going to hurt us that much. Just call me crazy but I think we may do well this year in the ESC..
And if we don’t go through to the Grand Final at least we are going to have Gaia representing us there 🙂

Leon
Guest
Leon

@Dan – I agree. Especially considering the fact that Armenia was left out by a single point (although I didn’t think it deserved to qualify), but if they did, Russia, Georgia, and several other countries that gave their 12 to Azerbaijan, would have given it to Armenia.

Dan
Guest
Dan

@Leon I do not want to talk about 2011.It was weirdest ESC .Turkey and Armenia have not qualified and Azerbaijan won , it was very strange as nobody expected that .Then later ESC dirt came up and we understood why they had won. Just think if Armenia and Turkey had been qualified it would not have been easy for Azerbaijan to win.So everything was organized .So I do not count 2011.I hope ESC will be fair like before so talented one will win.

Heyy
Guest
Heyy

The second semi in particular is becoming even more hard to predict! The first two slots have definetely hurt Malta and Israel, and from core qualifiers, theyre down to borderline. Although I especially expect Malta to do well with juries, I think the televoting will push them way down… Norway and Romania given two stellar spots, they should cruise through without any problems, with Norway possibly winning the semi. Slovenia and Austria also have increased their chances of qualification, and I expect Conchita to crack to Top 4 of the semi. Belarus and Georgia are still doomed, and despite all… Read more »

Heyy
Guest
Heyy

Interesting… In Semi 1, I can still say that Russia, Ukraine, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Hungary, Belgium, Sweden and Estonia are almost sure qualifiers. For the remaining two: Latvia has no chance. Netherlands also. Moldova has quite a lousy draw, with a weak song. Montenegro, though lonely, has enough jury appeal, i think, to squeak through at 9th-10th place. Albania is a tricky one. The song isnt bad, but i cant say its a comfortable qualifier. The same with San Marino, although SM has a much better draw, and I believe this will be their year! Meanwhile, Portugal is quite unappealing, and… Read more »

Eugene UK
Guest
Eugene UK

Hi Leon – About this stage in 2012 Loreen’s odds in decimals were 3.25, in 2013 Emmelie’s odds were 3.00, 2014 Aram MP3’s odds are 2.00.

Having said that in 2011 at this stage Amoury’s (France) odds were 3.5, but he ended up 15th that year!!

Leon
Guest
Leon

@Dan – I don’t know about Russia, but in 2010 Armenia did not qualify so that’s not always the case. And generally speaking, these countries tend to send very strong entries, especially Azerbaijan though I must say, I think their entries are largely overrated as far as their placing in the final.

@Eugene UK – I know. I’m really surprised. I think Armenia overall is actually ahead of Denmark’s last year’s bet even when the contest was around the corner. I think their bets are almost as high as Sweden’s were in 2012 which is really interesting.

eurana
Guest
eurana

Attention ! Suzy from Portugal is NOT singing samba ! It’s PIMBA a genre from Portugal not Brazil. For god sake.

Timselvision
Guest
Timselvision

I must say, – I´m possible the only ESC fan on earth – I love Malta´s entry this year. Previous year too, actually. So… don´t kill me if I say that Malta hopefully will be in the final this year (A)

And I love my country´s ranking order this year. I hope it works 🙂

Lio Anch
Guest
Lio Anch

QwaarJet, I do hope Ireland will qualify, but I’m not sure after watching the running order

Dan
Guest
Dan

Former Soviet Union countries like Armenia ,Russian ,Azerbaijan will qualify ,does not matter when they sing.In 2006 I remember Armenia also was first but they qualified. They probably put Armenia at first because they probably want people to turn on tv on time ,It is people’s favourite after all xD I am afraid The Netherlands won’t be in final this time , or maybe it will be ?

Eugene UK
Guest
Eugene UK

With just over SIX weeks to go, the Bookies have Armenia at “Evens” in the betting, I have never known ANY song to have such odds at THIS stage. Basically if you bet one pound, you win one pound. If this continues, it could go off a hotter favourite than Denmark last year. In decimals Armenia have odds of 2.00 today, on final day last year Denmark had odds of 1.53!! Reality alert!! The bookies have often got it wrong too of course. Early days still.

Krs
Guest
Krs

This article says that Malta is nowhere near to being favourite. I beg to differ, it is currently 5th in betting odds to win semi 2, beating the likes of Poland and Ireland. It may not be a fan favourite, but it will certainly be a favourite with juries (last year Malta came first with jury) and non-Eurovision fans voters.

Eugene UK
Guest
Eugene UK

Semi- final 1 – With 10 ballads Semi 1 has a very strong first half, but Belgium, San Marino, Montenegro and Hungary have been given every chance to qualify. Azerbaijan and Russia have been given the best possible slots that they could be given having been drawn in the first half. The so called favourites should qualify regardless though. Will “Undo” stand out or be forgotten? Semi- final 2 – Israel has been given a really bad slot. Ireland, F.Y.R. Macedonia, Greece and Romania have been given prime opportunities to qualify. Austria and Lithuania get the best possible slots they… Read more »

Anthony Ko
Editor

In terms of the no. 2 death spot, I can imagine Israel qualifying and Latvia missing out.

Dhani
Guest

i actually don’t think israel will make it 🙁

QwaarJet
Guest
QwaarJet

Lio, you are delusional if you think Ireland aren’t qualifying.

Leon
Guest
Leon

Apparently, 7 out of 10 acts that perform first do NOT qualify. Following those statistics either EBU wants to change the statistical data by placing Armenia as the opening act or wants to keep Armenia in the semi-final. I also think that Sweden’s entry was more compatible to be the opening act.

Diane
Guest
Diane

Interesting draw.. We’ll see in May then

Lio Anch
Guest
Lio Anch

This is SOOOOO strange, as if the producers don’t know anything about past years. Israel. If I remember correctly, it’s their zilion time going in 2nd spot of the running order. Is is considered as the “doomed” spot, however back in 2009 they did manage to qualify from that spot. Shame on you DR!!! I’m happy my country is last in semi-final 2. YES!!! Good for you DR!!! Malta, Slovenia, Ireland, and Swiss- sorry, but you’re doomed!!! Poland- auwful song (in my opinion), BUT coming after Norway and Georgia is very promising for them. If you need help from friends,… Read more »

NargizAZ.
Guest
NargizAZ.

My Top 5 for 1st semi (in random order)
Hungary
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Sweden
Montenegro

My Top 5 for 2nd semi (in random order)
Norway
Israel
Austria
Greece
Finland

Dar
Guest

@ Robyn .. Yea armenia and Azerbaijan like two irritating spoilt arrogant children with serious mental issues ..

eurovision-berlin
Guest
eurovision-berlin

I think this order is ok.

Robyn
Guest
Robyn

I’ve just had a look back at the opening acts of previous years. Yeah, most acts who open the semis tend to not qualify, but the ones who do get through tend to be really popular acts who go on to place top 10 in the final. I think Armenia will be fine!

Also – it’s funny that Armenia and Azerbaijan are the furthest apart in the first half of semi 1, like two naughty children who need to be separated 🙂

Robyn
Guest
Robyn

My favourite thing about semi 1 – Sanna will be all depressed with her “undo my sad”, then Pollaponk will come along cheer her up with their anti-bullying song. Awesome narrative!

Trebinium
Guest
Trebinium

I kind of like the running order….

My top 37

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lPJEzLFh5_I

Jamaraqueer
Guest
Jamaraqueer

Poor Malta 🙁 They’re a country that needs to go late in the running order to do well. SO ANNOYING!!!! WHY EBU?!?! WHY DR?!?