The Roop Roxen Eurovision 2020 odds

It’s a country that’s only recorded two top ten finishes ever. But that could all be about to change as Lithuania has leapfrogged Italy to become the new bookies’ favourite to win Eurovision 2020.

Eurovision 2020 Odds: Lithuania favourite to win — 23 February

Since winning the newly revamped national selection — Pabandom iš naujo! — just over one week ago, The Roop have ridden a wave of hype. They broke local televote records, out streamed The Weeknd and Billie Eilish and stormed our favourite act so far poll.

And the betting markets are taking notice. The “On Fire” band currently sits atop Oddschecker’s odds comparison table. In a sea of blue — which means their odds are shortening — the Lithuanian outfit can be backed from as low as 6.0.

Other Eurovision 2020 betting favourites

But for one act to rise, another must fall. And whereas the Baltic nation is covered in blue, Italy’s odds are almost all coloured in red. That means its odds are starting to drift, with the bookies slashing their chances of winning.

Diodato and “Fai Rumore” can now be backed from 7.0 compared to 6.0 just a few days ago.

While remaining at third, Russia too is beginning to drift. Its odds have widened from 8.0 to 10.0. As of the time of writing, we remain in the dark about the Eurovision powerhouse’s selection process.

In an exciting development, Romania has shot up the rankings following the release of Roxen’s five national final entries on Friday. These will be narrowed down to just one on Sunday 1 March.

But punters are already rowing behind her, and she Romania can be backed from as low as 8.0.

The betting top five is rounded out by Sweden. As Melodifestivalen enters its final stages, Dotter is the favourite to represent the country. And while Romania’s climb has pushed the Scandi nation down one spot in the table, it’s odds are actually shortening with many outlets. The shortest available odds are 8.0.

The top ten is completed by Malta, Bulgaria, Norway, Portugal and Poland. Poland was just finishing its selection as this post went to press, so it may rise or fall in the next few hours — depending on the market reaction.

Eurovision 2020 Betting Odds — 23 February

via Oddschecker

  1. Lithuania 6.0
  2. Italy 8.0
  3. Russia 10.0
  4. Romania 8.0
  5. Sweden 8.0
  6. Malta 12.0
  7. Bulgaria 12.0
  8. Norway 10.0
  9. Portugal 14.0
  10. Poland 16.0

Odds correct as of 16:00 CET 23 February.

Update at 17:30 CET: Within an hour of publication, Romania has risen to third in the odds. Meanwhile, Poland has plummeted to 23rd.

Do you agree with the odds? Are the betting community getting a bit too excited a bit too soon? Let us know in the comments.

Follow all of our Eurovision 2020 odds here.

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[…] no change at the top. Lithuania’s The Roop remain the firm favourites to win. While their odds are drifting slightly, they are still significantly lower than at the weekend. […]

Andrew
Guest
Andrew

It doesn’t make any sense. Let’s see what happens when all the songs are presented.

Emile
Guest
Emile

How is North Macidonia, and Latvia in the bottom two?

lasse braun
Guest
lasse braun

so sweden wants to fight fire with light – good joke. 😀

Tammede We
Guest
Tammede We

This is stupid, Lithuania will not win this. And what is this ? Russia, Romania, Sweden, Malta, Bulgaria and Portugal, songs are not here yet, this betting odds suck just.

This
Guest
This

Chill man!!!!! Ohh jesus christ, you are so annoying !

Mamagrazi
Guest
Mamagrazi

I hope it win the song is on fire ?

trackback

[…] „Alcohol You“ ?i „Cherry Red“. În plus, pe site-ul dedicat concursului Eurovision, wiwibloggs, România se afl? în topul favori?ilor, iar casele de pariuri au pozi?ionat deja România pe […]

Adriana
Guest
Adriana

Just read that Global records has made 2 TOPS one with what Europeans would like to see at Eurovision and one with what Romanians would like to send.Europeans has voted 1.Cherry Red , 2. Alchohol you .Romanians has voted 1. Alchohol You ,2 . Cherry Red.Curios how the outcome will be on Sunday.

Adriana
Guest
Adriana

Can any moderator correct my word from TOPS to Polls ?Thank you.

Lori
Guest
Lori

So funny, in this article it says “Fui rumore” and not “Fai rumore” that is the actual title 🙂 In Lithuanian “fui” is an expression that indicates disgust like “ew”
Lol

KESC
Guest
KESC

In German as well

Lori
Guest
Lori

Ok they have corrected it 🙂
I mean it’s not fui. I like it. It’s in my top 3 so far:
1. Lithuania
2. Albania
3. Italy
And I have a feeling soon number 2 will be Romania ?

Ffs
Guest
Ffs

Let the brainwashing begin

CardiB
Guest
CardiB

I like how the odds are changing rapidly, love that it just makes the whole thing more mysterious.
Also I dislike lithuania’s entry but I’m happy to see Romania top 3. Such a relief when I heard the songs proposed for Roxen after the harsh critisim from MIHAI, so glad. I’d love to see him eat his words.

Alex
Guest
Alex

Fun fact: 2017. Salvador Sobral won Eurovision.
Portugal got 24 points from Israel and Netherlands. Who else gave 24: Lithuania

Joe
Guest
Joe

Not only that, it was the rare and beautiful Unanimous 12: 12’s from all five jurors and the televote. (Israel was also close to that except one juror gave 12 to Sweden).

Kuno
Guest
Kuno

Remember that Salvador competed in a year without Russia.

Maya
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Maya

Yeah, so? What has Russia (or rather its absence) to do with his win?

Tom
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Tom

How can the bookies judge songs that still haven’t been released? Ridiculous.

Fan
Guest
Fan

From the Eurovision World: “Historical statistics have a great influence on how the oddsmakers price each participant’s song. If a country has been statistically successful at Eurovision, oddsmakers will take this into account in their odds pricing. This is particularly happening in the initial phase, where the song is not even released.”

Briekimchi
Guest
Briekimchi

As if Sweden has a song as good…

Mikimimm
Guest
Mikimimm

Right, and pigs can fly.

This
Guest
This

And i guess now you are flying high by talking total nonsence !!!

Stian F
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Stian F

Ok… So now Italy, Australia and Lithuania has been favorites, any more? .. Let’s see how many more will be favorites before the actual Eurovision gets underway. Not all of them can win….. Maybe its the year of an underdog ?

James
Guest
James

“And take a look at me now…”

Andrius
Guest
Andrius

As a lithuanian i could say that the main goal would be top 5 so we can best LT United result, and a win is not that important for me, because in life journey is more exciting and important than goal itself

Joe
Guest
Joe

The consensus among Lithuanians seems to be, “We would love winning, but what we would REALLY love is not having our best result still be a novelty song.”

Goodmorning
Guest
Goodmorning

As a Lithuanian I would love for us to win, just not with this song. Then everyone would talk about that Lithuania won with a joke act… kinda cringe.

This
Guest
This

Look, never care, what people says or what people thinks! Life is too short to waste your time for WHAT PEOPLE THINKS! They could think whatever they want, this is not our business. Do not care!

Rainer1
Guest
Rainer1

but if you have the goal in front of your eyes, you want to achieve it. there is only one for lithuania this year. win

Harm
Guest
Harm

One thing is sure Lithuania will do very well in Rotterdam. The song makes me happy and the singer is so charismatic. I am from the Netherlands and I wouldn’t mind if Lithuania wins this year in my home country. We are on fire.

Harut
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Harut

Norway is underrated, she is amazing and the song is really touching

florinho
Guest
florinho

coronavirus in buzau city which will host romania national final.. i think this national final will be cancelled

Logical Person
Guest
Logical Person

The annual fanwank

Kar
Guest
Kar

The fact that Lithuania gets this much attention in comments, either good or bad, is telling something. Buzz is great for Lithuania, a country who rarely gets any substantial attention in Eurovision.

BadWoolfGirl
Guest
BadWoolfGirl

Yeah, it’s fantastic for Lithuania because I’ve never been the center of attention before eurovision.

esc1234
Guest
esc1234

Some countries are ignored in eurovision and Lithuania is the first time that its the center of the attention. Imagine what it means for a small country to have the support of many europeans and see so many positive comments. Albania would have the chance to experience the same but apparently, someone had different plans which is so sad for all the albanians that seemed excited for the first time about their entry. Countries who arent doing very well in ESC deserve to have their moment.

Jaja
Guest
Jaja

Lithuania is not small, it’s a normal sized country

PP77
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PP77

Italy, Romania are so overrated. I don t see both in TOP 5 in final.

Alex
Guest
Alex

I can totally see both top 5 (or close) unless internal selections raise the bar

Kar
Guest
Kar

I actually like Italy’s song, but it wouldn’t be my winner. Winner in Eurovision? Who knows, after Portugal won with it’s song few years ago, it’s possible. However, i think that 2020 will be year of more up beat songs.
As for Romania – we haven’t heard or seen any of Romania’s songs performed live, not to mention we don’t even know which song will be performed, so Romania may climb or fall badly. I think Romania’s songs are more for teens and young adults rather than a regular ESC audience. I bet Romania will do good on Spotify.

Nicolas
Guest
Nicolas

The most funny is Romania so high without even knowing what will be song they will choose. Or does the bookies seriously think that any of them is top 3 material ? lol

Someone
Guest
Someone

“Cherry Red” has top 5 potential whereas “Alcohol You” is a potential Eurovision winner (Gives me winner vibes) with a good and emotional performance I wouldn’t be surprised is Romania ends up top 5 or even their first win! The winning song of Selectia Nationala is 100% between “Cherry Red” and “Alcohol You”.
So no wonder Romania went from 21st to 3rd in the odds.

Bella
Guest
Bella

I really enjoy Lithuania’s song, it’s in my top right now with Italy, Belgium and Ukraine. The song is catchy and they were able to find a subtle balance between a fun but still intriguing staging. But as good of a song as it is, I don’t think it should win. Winners usually have that X Factor, that je ne sais quoi that makes them stand out and I don’t see that in The Roop.

Alex
Guest
Alex

Out of 14 and upcoming NF, The Roop has that x factor you mention. That said, last year Keiino had it yet didn’t win because of juries for example. You never know.
Every year it’s new world and hard to make sure calls

Bella
Guest
Bella

Keiino didn’t have that X Factor. Catchy song, but definitely not the aura of a winner. The jury did what it’s supposed to do and placing 6th was an appropriate ranking for that song. It was not a winner.

I expect the same thing will happen to The Roop: cool song, but not a winner. Juries will probably not vote for it en masse.

Alex
Guest
Alex

They won televote! That’s not easy. Based on that, they had it. It was very different artists with that Mix of Europop and Sami. It was not something we see always I think. It was not safe. It went well as it could have gone very bad.
And they won it without that much buzz or hype compared to other countries.
About The Roop we’ll see. I’m sure Lithuanians would be so happy to win televote like Norway did

Stian F
Guest
Stian F

I agree, so many people just laughed at the joik part of “Spirit In the Sky” and then now after the contest it is the part everyone is really excited about in the song. It definitely had that X factor!! Also it helped a lot that it was performed flawlessly. That fact alone should have given it more support than what the juries gave to some songs that was more off vocally last year.

Vicky
Guest
Vicky

Keino had definitely a winner vibes. The real winner wasn’t a winner neither with public or with juries. Only the whole system of Eurovision constructed a crown for him. Simple as that.

Joe
Guest
Joe

This is looking really similar to the aftermath of 2017. Ballads start showing up more and more, and the most enjoyable upbeat song with a good message starts grabbing people’s attention. The only difference is that we don’t have a more conventional bop to challenge it (let’s see with Greece, though…). Also the ballads are by and large as strong if not stronger than 2018.

Isak
Guest
Isak

This doesn’t tell us much. Top ten is still tight, and we don’t even know four of those entries yet.

Melanie Trump
Guest
Melanie Trump

I love the update. Poland could have had a top 10 shot with Albert of Lake malawi and decided to choose mediocrity and went plummeting down the odds lmaooooo

ImJJ
Guest
ImJJ

Lucy was so gimmic-y and fun, man, i wanted it to win

florinho
Guest
florinho

i am from romania and after 2 bad years i just want to see my country in the final i dont care about what place we get there

BadWoolfGirl
Guest
BadWoolfGirl

If iceland chooses Iva, that will be my first place, but if dadi is chosen, Lithuania remains on top.

Stian F
Guest
Stian F

If Dadi is chosen it will steal points from Lithuania… Especially from the Nordic bloc.

Mia
Guest
Mia

Because I’m bad, I’m baaad you know it , shamon

Esc1234
Guest
Esc1234

In 2017 the top 3 were countries that achieved their best placing ever. I would love to see that this year with Lithuania Romania and another country that hasn’t scored top3

BadWoolfGirl
Guest
BadWoolfGirl

That would be a great outcome.

Nicolas
Guest
Nicolas

Romania had already finished 3rd and 4th and I doubt one of the generics Billie Eilish wannabe pop songs to choose this year will do better than Tornero.

TheSneakyHider
Guest
TheSneakyHider

San Marino will storm the competition and win mate.

Anthony
Guest
Anthony

The odds seem quite fair BUT despite the hype about the lithuanian antry i really can’t see this winning….it is a nice entry but i don’t get vibes of a winner and i don’t think that juries will love this….personally i would prefer one of the songs of Romania to win rather than Lithuania….it is overestimated…

Nicole
Guest
Nicole

I agree with everything you said, you are on point!

Anthony
Guest
Anthony

?eah,i think that we might have not seen the winner yet…we’ll see but i don’t think that it will be Lithuania…this is more of an act and not a memorable song

Nicolas
Guest
Nicolas

Lithuania will be this year fan failed entry. I wish not cause I start liking it but I smell it coming.

Bella
Guest
Bella

I agree with you, but if you don’t get winner vibes from Lithuania (I like the song but don’t get them either) how do you get them from Romania? These songs are all in plastic, they sound like some generic B-Track summer hits that no one wanted to sing at Melfest 2007.

Kar
Guest
Kar

Well, we haven’t heard or seen any of Romania’s songs performed live, not to mention we don’t even know which song will be performed, so Romania may climb or fall badly.

Fan
Guest
Fan

Of course everything can change, but seems like odds on fire. 12% chance to win compared to Italy in second place with 6%. And it keep rising. The lowest coefficient 3.75 wow.

James
Guest
James

Pretty sure Russia, Azerbaijan or Bulgaria will produce a song who will compete with Lithuania but this must be exciting for the Baltic state. Finally their wait for the top 5 could be over. If the song gets at least a 130 from the juries, who knows, maybe even a win?

BadWoolfGirl
Guest
BadWoolfGirl

If Lithuania does get a top five result short of winning, it would be a major victory for the country because they have never placed that high. Currently sixth place Is their highest position with 2006’s we are the winners.

Kosey
Guest
Kosey

My new top after this week’s new entries (last week in brackets): 1. Norway (1) – so raw, emotional, great performance 2. Latvia (2) – this season needs a banger, and Samanta is it 3. Australia (4) – really growing on me this one 4. Ukraine (new) – great ethnics, great beat, great performance – this has all the ingredients 5. Lithuania (3) – I think all the hype might be turning me off this fun, quirky entry 6. Czechia (7) – Benny, I am beginning to feel it 7. Italy (5) – still enjoyable, but others are overtaking it… Read more »

Sale
Guest
Sale

Italy and Lithuania will end up in top 5/10 but they’re not the winners for sure, even though I like their songs

Anthony
Guest
Anthony

Totally agree

Jonas
Guest
Jonas

I could do with less focus on the odds. They don’t actually count for much until all entries have been revealed.

xohxoh
Guest
xohxoh

It’s still nice.

Alex
Guest
Alex

And even having all entries, they don’t count that much either. We never know.
They didn’t see Norway winning televote last year or North Macedonia juries.
They underrated a lot of entries in 2018 that ended up doing well.

Miles
Guest
Miles

Could the countries that have an entry so far win? Albania – not a chance but could secure a final placing with good staging Spain – lol, no. It’s okay but esc winner? No. Bottom 10? Yes Czech Republic – no, but a nearly sure qualifier Australia- no, could be a top 10/5 with less staging and less singing and more singing Latvia – no but we appreciate a risk! Italy – no, but perhaps top 15 Armenia – of course not but it ain’t bad and it could qualify Norway- perhaps a top 3 jury finish and top 13… Read more »

James
Guest
James

Lithuania Top 5 most definitely now. This year everyone is riding a ballad horse and chasing last year’s winner. Sorry but only countries with a private selection will knock Lithuania from the top spot. IF THEY KNOCK.

Nicole
Guest
Nicole

Keep your eyes out for March 1st, the ballad streak is about to end!

Jessy
Guest
Jessy

Why? We will see cheap Romanian Dua Lipa/Billie Eilish wannabe? Lmao.